2013 Federal Senate Predictions Are Now Live

The current 2013 Federal Senate predictions (along with state-by-state breakdowns of votes and seat probabilities) are now live in the 2013 Senate Pre-Election Overview.

The analysis is based on a nationwide swing of 2–3% towards the Coalition from Labor (2/3 of the swing) and the Greens (1/3 of the swing). I have also included a sizeable portion of minor party votes, as they are quite likely to attract above-the-line votes given the sheer size of the 2013 Senate ballot papers.

As ever, I strongly suggest voting below the line, and voting tactically. I will be releasing my tactical voting guides for voters who support one of the major parties (ALP, LNP, and GRN) or who specifically want to prevent a particular micro-party candidate from harvesting preferences into the final Senate spot.