Live Legislative Council Count

Update: 2017/03/22 10:00 am Greens have pulled back on Labor in the South West Region, While ALP has the best change now for the final seat in Mining and Pastoral (which was previously the shooters). Similarly, the Liberal Democrats are at risk of losing to the Daylight Savings party in South Metro (They're about 500 votes shy of winning). This is looking very good for Labor, with 18 seats between them and The Greens needing only one more vote for legislation.

Update: 2017/03/15 11:00 pm Unchanged most probable outcome, minor percentage changes. No "non ticket votes" have been counted yet (apart from Yallingup Hall which has counted 33 votes as below the line for Tim Hartley, and zero above the line, so I can only assume this is a typographical error).

Update: 2017/03/13 10:00 pm Labor have reigned in the Greens seat in South West Region, now it's leaning towards Labor.

Update: 2017/03/12 11:50 pm Liberals have pulled back on Fluoride Free in East Metro, it's a tossup now.

Update: 2017/03/12 3:30 am Final Update for the Night (definitely).

Shooters and Fishers have brought it back to 50-50 with Labor in Mining and Pastoral Region, and the WA Greens have brought it back against Labor in the South West Region, being the favourites now!

Update: 2017/03/12 2:00 am Final Update for the Night (maybe).

Big move in Mining and Pastoral Counts, giving WA Labor one of the WA National seats, and solidifying the seat they were holding vs. the WA Greens. This is looking really good for WA Labor

Update: 2017/03/12 1:00 am Pretty happy saying WA Labor will get 14 seats (with a tossup with WA Greens for a 15th, so let's give that to the Greens for the following analysis), WA Nationals will get 4 (battle with the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers for 5) and the Liberal Party with 9. This is interesting tactically, as it opens up a serious option for Nationals and Labor to pass legislation with 19 votes. If they don't merge like that, there's a 14-14 base vote, and then the minors come in on top. 4 votes to block, 5 to pass legislation. (the WA Greens are pretty solid with three votes, so locking them down would leave Labor needing two more votes).

This upper house is looking vastly more manageable for Labor than in Victoria (which turned into a big struggle).

I'll take a break until the morning. I'll update around 10-11 Sydney time

Most Likely Results (as at 3:30am Sydney Time)

| Party (19 for majority) | Seats (2am) | Seats (3:30am)| Seats (11:50pm)| Seats (10pm 13/03)| Seats (11pm 15/03)| Seats (10am 22/03)| | :-------------------|:-------|:-------|:-------|:-------|:-------| | WA Labor | 16 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | | THE NATIONALS | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | | Liberal Party | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | | Shooters, Fishers and Farmers | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | | Pauline Hanson's One Nation | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | | The Greens (WA) | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | | FLUORIDE FREE WA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Liberal Democrats | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |

High Variance Counts

Agricultural Region (86k Votes Counted, 103k Enrolled)

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