If Jen can stay above 40% primary, she will be in a very strong place to win the presidency. However, with the first Fisher booth out, it's looking better for Hannah to get enough flow to win. The expiring votes will decide the election.
The gap has closed massively between Amelie and Hannah, now it will come down to a cointoss as to who gets excluded.
Hannah is now being excluded. Jen should win even with poor preferences due to exclusion. Will update with more details in the morning!